Helps mobile app developers move subscriptions off Apple/Google billing onto web-based checkout.
Using propensity modeling for migration targeting, churn prediction for retention flows, and fraud detection for payment security.

Technology
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Mobile Payments
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YC W26

Last Updated:
March 20, 2026

Builds direct billing infrastructure for mobile apps that helps developers move subscriptions and purchases off Apple and Google billing onto web-based checkout, while also managing entitlements, retention flows, analytics, and merchant-of-record operations.
Public materials strongly imply expansion across more mobile SDKs, deeper subscription migration tooling, richer experimentation and targeting, stronger retention flows, and more robust merchant-of-record back-office features for tax, disputes, and compliance.
Public signals suggest a founder-led engineering-heavy build phase: two former Apple engineers, active SDK/docs footprint across iOS, Android, Flutter, and React Native, and a product surface that already spans checkout, entitlement sync, migration campaigns, cancel flows, and analytics despite the company's very early stage.
<p>Predict which mobile subscribers are most likely to accept a direct-billing migration offer so the company can maximize revenue lift without damaging conversion.</p>
Instead of showing every user the same billing-switch offer, the system learns who is most likely to switch and when to ask them.
ZeroSettle already appears to support subscription migration campaigns, targeting rules, remote configuration, and analytics. A natural ML extension is a propensity model that scores each subscriber on their likelihood to move from app-store billing to direct billing based on variables like subscription age, geography, device, plan type, engagement intensity, prior purchase history, renewal proximity, and response to prior offers. The system could then decide whether to show a switch prompt, which incentive to offer, and which presentation surface to use. This would let ZeroSettle optimize the tradeoff between margin expansion and conversion risk, turning a blunt migration campaign into a personalized revenue optimization engine.
Like knowing which airline passengers will actually pay for an upgrade, instead of offering first class to everyone at the gate.
<p>Predict churn risk during cancellation and renewal moments, then personalize save offers such as pauses, discounts, or plan downgrades to retain more subscribers.</p>
When someone looks ready to cancel, the system chooses the retention offer most likely to keep them subscribed.
ZeroSettle publicly signals support for cancel flows, pause offers, upgrade paths, and promotions. The most compelling ML use case in that area is churn prediction tied to next-best-action decisioning. A model could estimate both cancellation probability and offer sensitivity using behavior like declining engagement, billing history, tenure, content usage, price sensitivity proxies, and support interactions. The output would drive personalized interventions, such as offering a short pause instead of a discount to one user, a downgraded plan to another, or no incentive at all where margin leakage would outweigh retention value. This would improve net revenue retention and make the retention layer smarter than static rules or broad A/B tests.
Like a skilled hotel manager who knows whether a guest wants a late checkout, a room change, or a discount before they decide to leave.
<p>Detect high-risk transactions, abusive usage patterns, and likely chargebacks in direct billing so the company can protect merchant-of-record margins while keeping good customers frictionless.</p>
The system flags suspicious purchases before they become expensive disputes, while letting normal customers pay smoothly.
If ZeroSettle operates as merchant of record for some customers, it directly absorbs more fraud, dispute, support, and payment-risk complexity than a pure SDK layer would. That creates a strong case for ML-based fraud detection using signals such as BIN country mismatch, device fingerprint anomalies, velocity patterns, repeated trial abuse, unusual promotion redemption behavior, mismatched IP and payment geography, and prior dispute history. A risk model could score transactions in real time, route edge cases to stepped-up verification, and identify merchants or campaigns with abnormal abuse patterns. This would improve gross margins, reduce support burden, and make ZeroSettle more defensible as a managed billing platform rather than just a checkout wrapper.
Like a nightclub bouncer who quietly spots fake IDs and troublemakers without slowing down the line for regulars.
ZeroSettle's edge is that it sits at the intersection of post-Epic platform-policy change and difficult mobile billing implementation, with former Apple engineers packaging compliance, payments, entitlement sync, and monetization tooling into one SDK.