Valence

Roadmap & Position in Prediction Markets

Unified prediction markets terminal aggregating liquidity across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com.

Company Overview

Valence is a unified prediction markets trading terminal and aggregator that provides a single interface, smart order routing, unified order books, and developer APIs to trade across all major prediction market exchanges (Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, etc.), solving liquidity fragmentation and operational complexity for retail, professional, and institutional traders.

What They're Building

The company's public product roadmap & what they're committed to building.

Valence has publicly announced unified order book functionality across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com; developer APIs for systematic and algorithmic trading; live P&L and risk monitoring dashboards; and smart routing for best-price execution. Over 1B contracts have been traded through the platform with $200M+ monthly volume. They have signaled expansion toward becoming a full "trading superapp" for prediction markets, with plans for deeper institutional integrations and strategy marketplace features.

Latest Intelligence

Zeitgeist tracks private signals to determine where the company is heading strategically.

Prediction Markets Get A Unified Terminal

May 13, 2026

Confidence:

High

New Intel: Valence is building a unified terminal for prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and other venues. If prediction markets keep growing, traders will need liquidity aggregation and portfolio tools.

Founder and Key Execs

Neo Wang, Co-Founder

Co-Founder

Daniel Kasabov-Nouvion, Co-Founder

Co-Founder

Arthur Zhou, Co-Founder

Co-Founder

Founder Force Multiplier

This depth of quantitative trading infrastructure expertise is precisely matched to the problem of prediction market aggregation and execution.

Funding History

2025 | Product goes live, 7M contracts traded in September.
2026 | Accepted into Y Combinator Winter 2026 batch.
2026 | Surpassed 1B contracts traded and $200M+ monthly volume.

Competitors

Direct Aggregators

pmxt (open-source SDK for unified trading across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless), Polynance (data aggregation and analytics), FORS (cross-platform analytics), PolyRouter (order routing).

Single-Venue Platforms

Polymarket (largest crypto-native exchange), Kalshi (leading U.S.-regulated DCM), PredictIt (political markets).

Adjacent Competitors

Crypto.com (blended traditional/digital asset trading), FanDuel Predicts, DraftKings, Fanatics Markets.

Valence

's Moat:

1B+ contracts traded and $200M+ monthly volume creates liquidity that new entrants cannot match. Smart order routing across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com means traders get better execution on Valence than on any single exchange. Balyasny Asset Management L/S equity trading background brings institutional credibility.

How They're Leveraging AI

Cross-venue arbitrage optimization

AI-powered smart order routing engine that automatically identifies the best prices and arbitrage opportunities across fragmented prediction market exchanges, executing trades at optimal speed and cost for every user.

Ensemble probabilistic forecasting

Machine learning models that aggregate and synthesize data from multiple prediction markets, news feeds, and social signals to generate real-time probabilistic forecasts and actionable trading signals for users.

Autonomous agent orchestration

A platform layer enabling users to deploy, manage, and monitor autonomous AI trading agents that execute customizable prediction market strategies across all connected venues without manual intervention.

AI Use Overview:

Using cross-venue arbitrage optimization, ensemble probabilistic forecasting, and autonomous agent orchestration for trading strategies.

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